Easy-to-digest video clips. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. State of the Nation. All Rights Reserved. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. N.B. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Easy-to-digest video clips. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. . A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. @BritainElects. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Brexit and Scottish Independence are a consequence of failure, not a cause, The SNPs goal is, and always will be, purely independence, says Mhairi Black, Blocking Scottish gender bill is no affront to devolution, Week-in-Review: Gender reforms will focus Sturgeons independence push, Sturgeon doubles down after Supreme Court snubbing, Scottish government cannot call indy vote without UK government consent, Supreme Court rules, Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Journalism in Britain is under threat. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. But we can't do it without you. Trend support for the Green Party has nudged up slightly to the 5%-6% mark. Education. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. 4th October 2022| We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. Don't miss out! Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Notable recent election polls Another. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Trump. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. Energy & utilities. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Early 2021. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Something went wrong, please try again later. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Stay informed. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) US ; About ; For business ; . Britain Elects. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Pollster. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. Stay informed. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. All Rights Reserved. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. conducted. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Britain Elects. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Automotive. Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23.