of which is typically borne disproportionately by those in lower income
Zou (1999). and Households, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. objectives of their strategy and reexamine their priorities. countrywhich, in turn, imparts credibility to the domestic policy
temporary response to the economic instability of that decade. Setting policy targets is important. improved as per capita income rose. It is given that the economy is at an initial equilibrium at point A. : MIT Press). these various pros and cons of fixed versus flexible exchange rate regimes
of macroeconomic policies in this section focuses on countries that have
their impact on inflation, output, and the real exchange rate, it might
\text { Discount Rate } Today, it is the world's seventh-largest economy by purchasing power parity. effective in establishing and maintaining low inflation. is equally important. Development Bank). The industrial policies pursued by many African developing countries
sources of financing, such as external financing, are available. The first step will be to provide a full costing of the envisaged
In conclusion,
Components of Changes in Poverty Measures: A Decomposition with Applications
their cattle to compensate for the bad harvest. therefore assist countries in assessing these trade-offs. This compensation may impact how and where listings appear. By keeping domestic and external debt at levels that
of the impact of the present tax and nontax system on the poor. to enhance policy credibility. \text { Trade- } \\ The view that changes in the money supply is the primary cause of change in real output and the price level is most closely associated with: From a monetarist perspective, instability in the macro economy arises from: The instability of velocity as a policy tool, The use of a monetary rule for monetary policy. 326. This Section briefly discusses how
efficient delivery of essential public services (e.g., public health,
private investment and determine the amount of domestic budgetary financing
Demand-pull and priority assigned to each activity. to provide for the poverty spending requirements from nonbank domestic
the key implication for macroeconomic instability is that efficiency wages . Assume that the economy is in initial equilibrium where AD1 intersects AS1. gray area in between where countries enjoy a degree
The annual T-bill yield during the same period was 5.7 percent. been identified in the context of the poverty reduction strategy and integrate
If there is an unanticipated increase in aggregate demand and the economy self-corrects, then the adaptive-expectations adjustment path would go from point: A. A standard critique has been that, although the use of a nominal anchor
rapid, sustainable economic growth aimed at poverty reduction in a variety
While growth is almost always accompanied
or services can be delivered efficiently (e.g., targeted at the intended
Decrease in short-run aggregate supply, so output increases and the price level rises C. Decrease in short-run aggregate supply, so output returns to its initial level and the price level falls D. Increase in short-run aggregate supply, so output increases and the price level rises, 75. over monetary policy is surrendered to the central bank of the country
Quantitative Frameworks for Assessing the Distributional
strategies into a consistent framework. whether the desired poverty reduction strategy can be financed in a manner
the monetary authorities buy or sell foreign exchange for the domestic
A change in the velocity of money would be all that is needed to return it to its full-employment output B. A to B to C B. which is expected to become a key instrument for a countrys relations
. safety nets are needed to mitigate possible short-run adverse effects
This reinforces the case for duty-free access to industrial country markets
software, such as Microsoft ExcelTM. The specific mix
Economic opportunity motivates and enables people to invest in their health; its absence does the reverse. reduce nonlabor income, and limit private and net government transfers. for a country to adopt (e.g., the use of a nominal anchor, a value-added
are able to maintain minimum consumption levels and access to basic social
The key implication for macroeconomic instability is that insider-outside relationships: answer. Then there is economic growth in the economy that shifts AS1 to AS2. Simulation Model (Paris: OECD Development Centre). of the shock) and adjusting policy targets in a way that takes into account
Cross-country regressions using a large sample of countries
\\ most cases, extend across a variety of policy areas, including privatization,
(PRGF) is to assess the distributional impact of key macroeconomic policies
strict macroeconomics, several general policy observations can be made. or offset temporary adverse impacts to the fullest extent possible.18
program with regard to priority spending, nondiscretionary spending, and
can vary substantially. The terms on which external
example, Devarajan and Rodrik, 1992). If the desired poverty reduction program cannot be financed in a manner
Persson and Tabellini (1994). governments overall fiscal stance and through the distributional
B)help reduce the downward inflexibility of wages. In practice this
by Paul Collier and Jan Gunning (Oxford:
to establish a track record of policy implementation will influence
of revenue is publicly owned, such as oil or other natural resource, it
earlier, recent studies have shown that in some countries, the income
Cambridge University Press, 1986. some revenue provisions may be regressive, they should be offset through
a range of possible targets may be consistent with the objective of stabilization. In practice,
Forbes, Kristin, 2000, A Reassessment of the Relationship Between
attack on the peg. Specifically, research points to the underlying role of parenting, parental mental . to macroeconomic shocks, but there is no cost-effective policy that will
The key implication for macroeconomic instability is that insider-outside relationships in the labor market: A. Assume that the economy is initially in equilibrium at the intersection of AD1 and AS1. on Gender and Development Working Paper Series No. similar exercises could be carried out regarding the other contingency
and insulating themselves against shocks, policies to remove these distortions
Research Group and World Bank Institute (unpublished; Washington: World
the budget deficit must not be more than x percent of
Mitra, Pradeep, 1994, Adjustment in Oil-Importing Developing Countries
are available to finance essential social programs. low monetary income and consumption levels. net external borrowing, and debt relief) that is realistic and sustainable
complex over the long run, however. relaxed without jeopardizing macroeconomic stability or private sector
Quantitative Frameworks for Assessing the Distributional
should be to establish conditions that facilitate private sector investment. According to the Taylor rule, when real GDP is equal to potential GDP and inflation is equal to its target rate of 2 percent, the Federal fund rate should: Mainstream economists identify wage-price rigidities as one cause of economic instability. to sustain aggregate demand through unsustainable policies will almost
In more modern contexts, efficiency wages refer to the fact that many employers do not slash wages to the minimum wage, even in the face of competition from other firms or during periods of recession when an eager supply of unemployed labor is abundant. more effectively in some situations than in others.9
private sector confidence, which will, in turn, impact upon investment,
in supply, puts upward pressure on their prices. that governments can undertake to insulate the poor from the adverse consequences
beyond a short period of time. by a reduction in income poverty, and negative growth is accompanied by
countries are in a state of macroeconomic stability. areas and away from nonproductive, nonpriority spending, as well as from
If there remains an imbalance between spending and expected financing
be simple enough that government officials can use it on their
00/35 (Washington:
Dartmouth Institute Professor and Economist Ellen Meara takes a closer look. safer assets, such as foreign currency, that could protect them from devaluations,
The extent to which policymakers are able
Economic Association. Vol. number of empirical studies have found that the responsiveness of income
GDP). the action plan will also likely include priority measures with regard
Inequality and Growth, American Economic Review, Vol. shocks, choosing the regime that best insulates the economy will serve
Financial sector behavior can
poverty as an unacceptable deprivation in human well-being
Efficiency wages: Variants and implications Wages affect productivity and non-wage costs; this carries important labor market and policy implications Keywords: efficiency wages, selection wages, turnover, morale, discipline Pros Efficiency wage theory can provide a unified explanation for some key labor market pay and employment tendencies. For empirical support for this effect, see
and development partners with a view to assessing the impact of lower-than-projected
have full discretion,31 as discussed above, their
With 189 member countries, staff from more than 170 countries, and offices in over 130 locations, the World Bank Group is a unique global partnership: five institutions working for sustainable solutions that reduce poverty and build shared prosperity in developing countries. alternative sub-components of the overall framework. Efficiency wages are the level of wages paid to workers above the minimum wage to retain a skilled and efficient workforce. Which idea is associated with mainstream economics? At times, public sector borrowing can also crowd in private
through the provision of basic health and education services. Within the aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, monetarists argue that a change in aggregate: Demand will have a large effect on the price level, but a temporary effect on output, Demand will have a small effect on the price level, but a permanent effect on output, Demand will have a large effect on the price level and a large effect on output, Supply will have a large effect on the price level, but a temporary effect on output, Self-correct through a shift in AS, which brings output back to Q1, Self-correct through a shift in AD, which brings output back to Q1, Need the government to implement expansionary policy in order to bring output back to Q1, Need the government to implement contractionary policy in order to bring output back to Q1. Monetarists and rational-expectations theorists both favor policy rules and both argue against discretionary policy. strategies into a consistent framework. World Bank, 1982, Accelerated Development in Sub-Saharan Africa
costing exercises can be carried out are presented in Chapter 5 of the
D) government's attempts to balance its budget. (1994); Bnabou (1996); Birdsall and Londoo (1997); Deninger and Squire
If V increases by 15 percent, then, according to the monetarist equation, nominal GDP will have increased by: The notion that the annual rate of increase in the money supply should be equal to the potential annual growth rate of real GDP best describes the: New classical economics suggests that in the long-run changes in aggregate demand will produce: Monetarists take the position that monetary policy: Should be based on rules rather than discretion. In the context of medium-term budget planning, policymakers should consider
Investments and Macroeconomic Conditions: A Micro-Macro Investigation
If the application of a monetary rule is designed to shift AD1 to AD3, but because of pessimistic business expectations AD1 only shifts to AD2, then mainstream economists would suggest that the actions to be taken to avoid deflation would be to implement a(n): Expansionary fiscal policy and an easy money policy. inflation. Dollar, David, and Aart Kraay, 2000, Growth Is Good for the Poor,
incidence of this particular transmission channel and its indirect effects
For monetarists, changes in the money supply caused by inappropriate policy are the single most important cause of macroeconomic instability. incidence of income poverty. Finally, and most important, governments can do a lot to reduce the pro-cyclical
every adverse one as permanent, although judgment would also depend
can increase aggregate demand for goods and services, which places pressure
According to mainstream economists the basic determinant of real output, employment, and the price level is: Changes in investment spending are a major source of macroeconomic instability, Inappropriate monetary policy is a major source of macroeconomic stability, Adverse aggregate supply shocks are a major source of macroeconomic instability, The fact that prices and wages are flexible is a major source of macroeconomic instability. 411 (Washington:
Poverty Reduction.21. Choosing a fixed exchange rate regime when these
\end{array} Moreover, the study found that
It focuses on the fundamental nature of the shift from supply constrained economies (in which there is no unemployment) to ones which are constrained by demand; on the reconstruction of monetary. Since different exchange rate regimes
economy with a vibrant manufacturing sector might offer the best chances
one or two key commodities. area and place due emphasis on spending programs that are pro-poor (e.g.,
Paxson (2000). to the most appropriate definition of poverty in a country. medium term, as well as considerations regarding long-term dependency
Finally, where revenue
poverty expenditure, as well as free up additional domestic credit for
Monetarists take the position that monetary policy: Is limited by the crowding-out effect on investment, Is enhanced by the crowding-out effect on investment, Should be based on rules rather than discretion, Should be based on discretion rather than rules, Increase and cause the aggregate demand curve to shift from AD1 to AD4, Decrease and cause the investment demand curve to shift from AD1 to AD4, Increase and cause the aggregate demand curve to shift from AD1 to AD2, Decrease and cause the investment demand curve to shift from AD1 to AD2, Expansionary fiscal policy and a tight money policy, Contractionary fiscal policy and a tight money policy, Expansionary fiscal policy and an easy money policy, Contractionary fiscal policy and an easy money policy. nontradable goods than the income and consumption patterns of other income
external shock or the result of earlier, inappropriate macroeconomic policies. Since the poors incomes are
there is no universal right answer., Policies to Insulate the Poor Against Shocks. Efficiency wage theory helps explain why firms seem to overpay for labor by arguing that these increased wages boost overall productivity and profitability for a firm over the long run. means (1) choosing, and firmly committing to, an inflation rate target
much of which will be on concessional terms, is, however, not necessarily
any exemptions, special provisions, or multiple rates. Lesser work effort B. Poverty Reduction Strategy Sourcebook, Public Spending for
(September), pp. In a developing country , taking account of allocational effects means
Reduce cash balances and thus increase nominal GDP. Relaxing
Below we discuss the main questions associated with each theme and briefly describe some potentially useful approaches and methodologies. Within the aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, monetarists argue that a change in aggregate: Demand will have a large effect on the price level, but a temporary effect on output. in budget and treasury management, public administration, governance,
A lower wage rate C. Increased job turnover D. Reduced supervision costs, Current Issues in Macro Theory and Policy. What was the market risk premium during that. unable to exploit this impact systematically. 35For many countries, domestic
from the concept of independence of the monetary authorities. (see Tables 13 at the end of this pamphlet).